CTV Seasonality and Timing for Law Firms
Q4 CTV CPMs rise 15-30% from holiday and political ads. Best value: Q1 and summer. Consistent presence beats timing. ROAS improves 24% after 90 days.
CTV costs and competition fluctuate throughout the year. Understanding seasonality helps you optimize budget allocation and timing for maximum impact.
The Seasonality Pattern
Option A
Option B
Month-by-Month Considerations
| Month | CPM Trend | Competition | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | Lower | Moderate | Good value, increase spend |
| February | Moderate | Moderate | Standard spending |
| March | Moderate | Higher (NCAA) | Watch sports inventory |
| April | Moderate | Moderate | Standard spending |
| May | Moderate | Lower | Good value |
| June | Moderate | Lower | Good value |
| July | Moderate | Lower | Good value |
| August | Moderate | Lower | Good value |
| September | Rising | Rising | Prepare for Q4 |
| October | High | High | Budget carefully |
| November | Highest | Highest | Be strategic |
| December | High | High | Consider reducing |
PI-Specific Considerations
Accident Patterns
Accidents don’t follow advertising seasons:
- Winter weather increases accidents
- Summer travel increases exposure
- Holiday travel spikes
- Year-round need exists
Case Development Timeline
Cases take months to resolve:
- Q1 advertising → Q2-Q3 case signings
- Consistent presence matters more than timing
- Don’t time to immediate need
Intake Capacity
Consider your operational reality:
- Can you handle holiday leads?
- Summer vacation staffing?
- Partner availability?
Timing Strategies
Strategy 1: Consistent Presence
Approach: Same spend every month Advantage: Steady awareness, no gaps Best for: Most firms
Consistency builds recognition. ROAS improves 24% after 90 days of steady investment.
Strategy 2: Value Optimization
Approach: Heavier in low-cost periods, lighter in high-cost Example:
- Q1: 30% of annual budget
- Q2: 25%
- Q3: 25%
- Q4: 20%
Advantage: More impressions per dollar Risk: Reduced presence during high-viewership periods
Strategy 3: Competitive Counter
Approach: Heavy when competitors are light Advantage: Share of voice when others retreat Best for: Challenger brands
Strategy 4: Inventory Alignment
Approach: Match spending to available inventory Advantage: Access best placements Best for: Premium positioning focus
Budget Allocation by Quarter
For $600K Annual Budget
Consistent approach:
- Q1: $150K
- Q2: $150K
- Q3: $150K
- Q4: $150K
Value-optimized approach:
- Q1: $180K (30%)
- Q2: $150K (25%)
- Q3: $150K (25%)
- Q4: $120K (20%)
Aggressive Q1 approach:
- Q1: $200K (33%)
- Q2: $150K (25%)
- Q3: $150K (25%)
- Q4: $100K (17%)
Weekly and Daily Timing
Day-of-Week Patterns
- Weekends: Higher viewership
- Friday-Sunday: Prime streaming time
- Monday-Tuesday: Lower, but engaged viewers
Time-of-Day Patterns
- Evening (7-11pm): Peak viewing
- Late night: Lower cost, specific audiences
- Daytime: Lower viewership, lower cost
Daypart Strategy
| Daypart | Cost | Reach | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prime (7-11pm) | Highest | Highest | Core presence |
| Late night | Lower | Moderate | Extend reach |
| Daytime | Lowest | Lower | Efficiency add |
Most campaigns weight toward prime with extensions.
Election Year Considerations
Political advertising significantly impacts Q3-Q4:
- 2024, 2028, etc. affected
- Political CPMs can spike 40-60%
- Swing state markets hit hardest
- Plan early, lock inventory if possible
Election Year Strategy
- Front-load spending (Q1-Q2)
- Reduce Q4 or lock early
- Consider non-political inventory
- Accept higher costs or lower presence
Holiday Considerations
Major Holidays
Thanksgiving week:
- High viewership (travel, football)
- High competition
- Premium inventory value
Christmas-New Year:
- High viewership
- Retail competition intense
- Consider reducing or maintaining
Super Bowl:
- Extreme premium
- Avoid unless sports-focused
- Week before/after affected
Holiday Strategy
Maintain presence but don’t fight for premium:
- Reduce spend 20-30% in peak holiday weeks
- Reallocate to January
- Don’t disappear completely
Building Your Calendar
Set Annual Budget
Total investment for the year across all CTV media.
Choose Strategy
Consistent, value-optimized, or competitive counter-programming.
Allocate Quarterly
Distribute budget based on chosen strategy and seasonal factors.
Plan Monthly
Detail monthly allocation within quarters for tactical execution.
Build Flexibility
Reserve 10-15% for opportunities, competitive responses, or adjustments.
Review & Adjust
Quarterly assessment, annual replan based on performance data.
Seasonality vs. Consistency Trade-off
The best timing strategy is often: don’t overthink it.
Reality check:
- Consistent presence builds recognition
- Gaps hurt more than timing optimization helps
- Accidents happen year-round
For most firms: consistent presence beats seasonal optimization. The firm that runs 12 months at $30K beats the firm that runs 6 months at $50K. Even though they spent less.
For complete budget planning, see CTV Budget by Market Size.
References
- MNTN Research. (2023). Increased investment in CTV leads to better performance. https://research.mountain.com/trends/data-reveals-increased-investment-in-ctv-leads-to-better-performance/
- MNTN Research. (2025). 62% of consumers discover new brands through TV. https://research.mountain.com/insights/62-of-consumers-discover-new-brands-or-products-through-tv/